Barclays added to a string of recent sales of so-called contingent convertible—or CoCo—bonds Wednesday. These securities fell sharply out of favour with investors earlier this year, when there were concerns that German lender Deutsche Bank might fail to make interest payments on some of its bonds. It made the payments.
The flurry of CoCo issuance has coincided with a fierce rally in bond markets driven by investors betting on global central banks keeping extraordinary stimulus in place for longer. Banks love to sell them because they are a low-pain way of hitting regulatory capital targets.
Yields on government bonds have plumbed new depths as investors have pushed up prices. There are more than $ 13 trillion of bonds trading at a negative yield, according to JP Morgan Asset Management, up from hardly any at the start of 2014.
That has encouraged investors to scramble for securities offering higher returns—from emerging market debt to risky bank securities such as CoCos.
European banks have issued more than €100 billion ($ 113 billion) worth of CoCos since 2012, according to CreditSights, to help build their capital levels as part of a post-crisis regulatory initiative designed to shield taxpayers from being on the hook for bank bailouts. CreditSights estimates European banks will sell at least another €100 billion of the securities in the coming years.
CoCos blur the traditional lines of stocks and bonds.
They don’t have a fixed maturity, but they have a “call date” when the bank is generally expected to redeem them. CoCos also pay a regular coupon like a bond but, similar to a stock dividend, this can be skipped at the bank’s discretion, or if the bank’s capital cushion is too slender. They can also be written down or converted into equity if a bank’s key capital ratio dips too low.
CoCos sold off earlier this year as fears mounted that Deutsche Bank would miss a coupon payment because the capital cushion used to determine whether coupons are paid had thinned.
The broader market has recovered somewhat since then. Investors in European bank CoCos have now earned a total return of 2.8% this year, according to Barclays. That compares with a year-to-date return of minus-11.7% in February, at the height of the concerns over CoCos, and a positive return of 7.1% last year.
John Raymond, a senior European banks analyst at CreditSights, said there have been various positive developments for CoCos, among them the European Commission relaxing restrictions on when banks can pay out coupons. The Bank of England has also helped by easing capital requirements for UK lenders following the Brexit vote, a move that should give these banks more leeway to continue paying CoCo coupons.
According to Dealogic, there have been $ 27.8 billion of new sales this year of so-called Additional Tier 1 bonds—the name of the main breed of CoCos issued by European banks. That is less than half the $ 57.9 billion of these securities sold a year earlier.
But the recent CoCo deals appear to have gone well.
Investors placed more than $ 15 billion of orders for a $ 1.5 billion Additional Tier 1 bond sold by Barclays on Wednesday, according to a person familiar with the matter and a deal notice released to investors. The bond pays an interest rate of 7.875%, according to the deal notice.
A spokeswoman for Standard Chartered said there was more than $ 20 billion of demand for the lender’s $ 2 billion CoCo sold earlier this month.
Ross at Henderson said he bought some of the recent RBS CoCo bonds because he thinks the bank’s creditworthiness is improving and he liked the high coupon on offer. He is looking to buy the Barclays bonds for similar reasons.
Even so, he said he is broadly cautious on the asset class, given its poor performance this year. He also has concerns over the structure of the securities, which essentially behave like equities if something goes wrong
“We have to weigh up those risks with the returns available,” he said.
Write to Christopher Whittall at email@example.com
This article was first published by The Wall Street Journal